The Championship Basement
When you hear people talking about the second tier of English football it’s normally to do with who is going to get promotion to the big time. This article however, is going to look at the bottom end of the table, where we analysis who could get sent down.
This weekend saw Blackpool snatch a 1-1 draw at mid-table Bolton, but it wasn’t enough, and they were relegated, with 6 games still left to play. Blackpool have not won a single match in 10 games, and find themselves only equalling a point a game (24 games played, 24 points on the table).
The relegation ends a four year stay in the Championship, and puts them back into the third tier of English football, where they last found themselves in 2007. It was only in 2010 the Seasiders won promotion into the Premier League where they did the double over Liverpool and beat Spurs.
Blackpool’s season has been a total misery, with them still needing 2 points to equal the lowest tally since the league had 24 teams competing in it. The tangerines are also the only club in the top 4 divisions not to win a single match away from home.
Looking at the The Championship table, it may well not only be a recent Premier League club who finds themselves playing football in League 1 next season. Wigan, Fulham and Reading are all near the bottom of the table, and are all desperately trying to secure wins to keep their heads above water.
With their being a 7 point gap between Millwall in 22nd, and Fulham in 21st, it’s unlikely the table will change too much between now and the end of the season. The current relegation odds reflect this, with both Wigan (22nd) and Millwall (22nd) at 1/16 according to Sky Bet.
Below we take a look in depth at each team’s chances of avoiding the drop:
Rotherham – 20th
Rotherham have given themselves a great chance of staying up after winning their last game against Brighton 1-0.
We think if they can beat Fulham and Reading they will stay up with a small amount of breathing space.
Chance of staying up: 6/10
Fulham – 21st
Fulham are level on points with Rotherham, with have the slight comfort of a game in hand. The good news for the Cottagers is that they play all the teams in and around them, leaving their destiny within their own hands.
In the coming weeks Fulham have fixtures against Wigan, Rotherham and relegated Blackpool. 3 wins here and they will be save.
Chance of staying up: 7/10
Millwall – 22nd
It looks like a tough run-in for Millwall, who currently find themselves occupying the final relegation position. With a gap of 7 points, and games against promotion chasers Watford, Wolves and Derby all to come they could have left it too late.
We think they will need to win 4 out of their final 6 games to stand any chance, and the possibility of that is remote.
Chance of staying up: 4/10
Wigan – 23rd
With Wigan 8 points off safety and the next in-line to be relegated it will take a small miracle to escape.
With only 5 games to play, Wigan will need to win 4/5 of these to have any chance of surviving. Below shows how we think they will fair in each remaining fixture:
- Fulham v Wigan – DRAW
- Millwall v Wigan – DRAW
- Wigan v Brighton – WIN
- Wigan v Wolves – LOSS
- Brenford v Wigan – LOSS
Clearly this is not enough…
Chance of staying up: 2/10
Photo courtesy of Phil on Flickr